An insurgency divided against itself cannot stand

From the “Things the US Media Won’t Tell You” Dept.:

Our Islamicist opponents in Iraq are turning on each other, and their “premier jihadist propaganda tool” has now launched an all-out attack on al-Qaeda. This shouldn’t surprise us–one of the best arguments for standing firm in Iraq is that the uneasy alliances among our enemies there can’t hold together if we keep the pressure on–but unfortunately, it also shouldn’t surprise us that no one in the West is interested in reporting this. Kudos to Nibras Kazimi, a visiting scholar at the Hudson Institute, for breaking this story on his blog Talisman Gate; this is the sort of thing we need to know if we’re going to have any chance at all to evaluate the situation in Iraq rationally and helpfully.

Wretchard at The Belmont Club picked up on this, via a thread on Small Wars Council in which it’s noted that al-Qaeda’s actions on the ground have outraged not only fellow jihadists but at least some of the tribes on whose cooperation they have depended. The key for us in Iraq, it seems to me, is to use a sort of large-scale judo on al-Qaeda and on other groups involved in the insurgency, to do everything possible to use their strength against them and assist them in defeating themselves; and if Wretchard’s right, that might be just what we’re doing. Now might not be a bad time at all to significantly reduce our troop presence, but it’s definitely not the time to pull out and abandon the field to our enemies. Stay the course, but sneakily.

Captors, or rescuers?

If you aren’t familiar with DEBKAfile, you might want to fix that. It’s a site run by an ex-Mossad agent who still has, and uses, his old contacts. The site is decidedly pro-Israel, as you’d expect, but as long as you bear the bias in mind, it’s a great source for information and analysis. Case in point: an article on the site which argues that Saddam wasn’t in hiding, he was a prisoner, perhaps held by another clan which was in blood feud with him and his clan. That would certainly explain his odd submissiveness.

“All Americans”? Uh-huh, riiight . . .

I don’t subscribe to Time, so I was late in reading Charles Krauthammer’s Nov. 17 column, in which he flatly declared, “The goodwill America earned on 9/11 was illusory. Get over it.” I regret the delay; imho, Krauthammer hits the nail on the head most of the time, and this column is one of his best. He does a valuable service in exploding the myth that Le Monde‘s famous “We Are All Americans” editorial actually signaled a real shift in French attitudes (or anyone else’s) toward our country. Read their editorial and his column, and see what you think.

Iowa meets Iraq

Denver’s pretty fortunate in its newspapers; I wouldn’t call either the Rocky Mountain News or the Denver Post world-class, but they’re better than a great many major newspapers in this country. (Detroit? Uggh.) That still puts them well below the papers we enjoyed in Canada, but the Great White North seems to be unusually blessed in that department. The key thing is that the Denver papers, unlike many, have a number of writers worth reading; and one of them, News columnist Bill Johnson, is currently on assignment in Iraq, and sending back good material. I recently discovered his Dec. 11 piece, covering his initial impressions of Baghdad; it’s an interesting column all the way around, but particularly so for his report of an event that didn’t get any other play in the US media, so far as I know: an anti-terrorism rally in the city’s Furdoise Square. From his description, it doesn’t sound like all that much, but hey, it’s a start.

Echoes of Ozymandias

The capture of Saddam Hussein is the biggest news this world has seen in a while, but the way in which he was captured was almost more interesting–he could have suicided, as he’d always said he would do, he could have fought back (his position was ultimately hopeless, but he could have killed as many soldiers as he had bullets if he had wanted to), but instead he meekly submitted. Judging by the initial reactions of the Arab media, I think his submission might mean more in the end than the fact that he was captured.

When the previous President Bush fought Saddam, the fact that Saddam remained in power was a tremendous boost to the Iraqi tyrant’s image, because it allowed him to present himself as a survivor who could never truly be defeated. So much for that.

“The Occupation of Iraq Means Liberty”

The problem with most of the news the US gets from Iraq is that it gets it from Westerners; even the statements we get from Iraqis are filtered through Western media. There is a cure for that problem, though: MEMRI (the Middle East Media Research Institute). I was particularly struck a few weeks ago by a piece they posted excerpting (at length) three columns by an expatriate Iraqi, who flatly declared, “the occupation is a blessed and promising liberation for Iraq, even if the U.N., Europe, Russia, India, and all the Arabs say otherwise.”

Kamel al-Sa’doun, writing from Norway in a London-based Arabic daily, makes this argument for two reasons: the evil of the Saddam regime (which, he notes, it was easy for his supporters in other Arab nations to ignore—they didn’t have to live through it), and the past history of American occupations. His hope for Iraq is “a safeguard that will create an open vista in which we can thoroughly reexamine our assumptions, just like Germany, South Korea and other nations . . . which the Americans liberated.” Here’s hoping he gets his wish. We certainly owe Iraq no less.