And the deal falls apart

Dump the lot of them. Dump the Republicans who voted against it and called their cowardice “conservative”—what, do they think there’s going to be a better option to come along?—dump the 95 Democrats in the House who followed them down the rat hole, and dump the House “leadership” of both parties who couldn’t get the job done. Along with them, kick the Senate “leadership” to the curb who couldn’t even get a vote off. These are the guys who created the problem, and they’re the ones who refused to fix it until it came to a crisis, and now they won’t put their careers on the line to fix it when it is a crisis? What do we need them for? What good are they?Update: OK, it appears I was too hard on the House GOP, though I still think they did wrong: it appears Nancy Pelosi was trying to set them up. For all her productive efforts to pull the deal together, she never lifted a finger to get her own party to vote for it. In fact, she did everything possible to make it painless for House Democrats to vote against it. Then, just before the vote, she gave a speech tearing into the GOP, angering and alienating all those Republican Representatives whose votes she’d been soliciting. Clearly, she wanted the bill either to fail—and to be branded a Republican failure—or to pass in such a way that it could be blamed on the GOP as a Republican bill. I’m still very unhappy with the House GOP—again, do they think this failure is likely to lead to a better outcome?—but given that a lot of them really didn’t believe in the bill, I can understand why so many voted against it, given the stunts Speaker Pelosi was pulling; and given her behavior, there’s no question in my mind that the blame for this one belongs squarely on her shoulders.At this point, I’m hoping that my pessimism is wrong and that Joseph Calhoun is right:

We are not on the verge of a new depression. The housing bubble collapse in California, Florida and a few other states is not enough to bring down the entire banking system. Investors who made mistakes in these markets should be held responsible and those who navigated the Fed-distorted market should be rewarded for their wisdom and prudence. Enacting the Paulson plan will not allow that to happen and our economy will suffer for it in the long run. The Japanese tried to prop up failed banks in the aftermath of the bursting of their twin bubbles and the result was 15 years of stagnation. Why are we emulating a strategy that is a demonstrable failure? A better alternative would be to allow capitalism to work as it should and stop the interventions of the Fed in the money market. Trust capitalism. It works.

He’s a minority voice in his opinion that the economy can get through this without a major infusion of capital; but he could still be right. Here’s hoping.

A win-win rescue plan

The biggest mistake the federal government has made with respect to its economic rescue plan has been allowing it to be described as a “bailout.” It isn’t; rather, it’s a plan for the government to interject necessary capital into our financial markets, thereby enabling them to get through this period without collapsing, by buying assets. The problem for the markets is that these assets have dropped in value, but that doesn’t mean they have no value; they will generate income for taxpayers while they’re in government hands, and assuming they’re purchased at a reasonable price, it should be possible at some point in the relatively near future for the government to sell them at a profit. As such, this isn’t really a case of the government giving away hundreds of billions of dollars; rather, it’s a case of the governmentinvesting that money in order to bridge our economy across a difficult period and, ultimately, pay down some of the national debt.

That’s why it’s good news that a deal appears to be coming together for a clean plan—one that includes additional protections for taxpayers, but not diversions of money to left-wing interest groups; and that’s why no less a conservative economist than Larry Kudlow says, “For taxpayers, the bank rescue plan is a win-win-win-win.”

Update: a tentative deal appears to be in place despite the efforts of a handful of Democratic senators who crashed the negotiations and began making various additional demands, including the reinsertion of the slush fund for ACORN. Apparently, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid couldn’t control his own troops, but the people who were actually empowered to put the deal together found a way to work around them; this was partly due to his opposite number, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, who used the power of her office to help get the deal done. If the deal holds and both parties are able to support it, a lot of the credit will also belong to John McCain, who played a significant role in bringing the House Republicans into the process. As Hugh Hewitt says, this deal represents “a reassuring return of purposeful legislating by the Congress.”

A thought or two on last night’s debate

I could put up a scorecard on the first presidential debate and tell you who I thought won and why, but there doesn’t seem to be a lot of point to that; in the first place, there are scads of people doing that already, and in the second place, the only thing that really matters is what the large bloc of undecided voters thought—and I’m definitely not in that category.There were, however, a couple things that occurred to me that might be worth mentioning. The first is that the real effect of these debates is in the takeaway moments; the big ones, of course, are the major gaffes and the knockout blows, and there weren’t any of those in this debate either way, but there will still be moments that stick in people’s minds. For my money, the ones from this debate will favor John McCain:

So let me get this right. We sit down with Ahmadinejad, and he says, “We’re going to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth,” and we say, “No, you’re not”? Oh, please.

(thanks to Jennifer Rubin for the text; followed, as Noam Scheiber noted, by Barack Obama letting it drop)

“You don’t do that. You don’t say that out loud.” (re: Sen. Obama’s suggestion that we should strike our enemies in Pakistan without the knowledge of the Pakistani government)“I’ve got a bracelet, too.”“John is right/Sen. McCain is right.”

On that score, I think the long-term effects of this debate will favor Sen. McCain, whatever the instant reactions might be. The other thing that occurred to me is that eight years ago, one of the things that seemed to hurt Al Gore in the debates was that he couldn’t find a consistent approach against George W. Bush—he was different every time, unlike Gov. Bush. Looking at the two candidates, I think Sen. McCain found an approach and a tone that will work for him, that he’ll be able to maintain across the debates; I’m not so sure that’s true of Sen. Obama, and neither is Byron York, at least in one key respect:

Obama was undeniably, and surprisingly, deferential to a man who in the past Obama has said “doesn’t get it.” . . .Here’s a prediction: The next time McCain and Obama meet in debate, on October 7 in Nashville, start a drinking game in which you take a big swig every time Obama says, “John is absolutely right.” I’ll bet you get to the end of the debate without ever lifting a glass.

I’ll bet York is absolutely right; but if he is, if we do in fact see a significantly different approach from Sen. Obama in the next debate (and I would argue that changing that would necessitate/create a significantly different approach), then that will have a negative effect on the Obama campaign as well.The bottom line here, I think, is that Sen. McCain put Sen. Obama back on his heels, in a reactive position, for most of the debate; I think Sen. Obama handled that pretty well, I think he was an effective counterpuncher in most instances—but I also think that if you get put in that position, you either have to get yourself back on the offensive, which he couldn’t do, or counterpunch effectively every time, or it weakens you. I don’t know what the immediate popular reaction will be, but for the long term, I think the Obama campaign has been weakened, at least a little, by this debate.

Thirty years of economic history in ten minutes

The value of this video, imho, isn’t the McCain/Palin commercial at the end, it’s the sheer volume of source material, mostly from the MSM, that’s referenced here in mapping out the trail that led us to this point; some of these stories I’ve seen and posted on (here, for instance), but others were new to me.HT: The Anchoress, who has an excellent rant on the egregious behavior of the Democratic (and some of the Republican) “leadership” of Congress in this crisis:

I need to first opine that the Democrats yesterday blew my mind with their last-minute addition of 56 billion to the bail-out, their sneaky, slippery attempt to play political games with some of this money—directing it to ACORN (!) – and their subsequent attempt to lie and to blame the GOP—the president—anyone but themselves for not passing a bill which the GOP CANNOT BLOCK. We already know that Nancy Pelosi has no leadership skills except in spite and obstruction—we see she is completely out of her depths here, but Barney Frank’s behavior last night, and his disrespect toward the GOP and the President was particularly egregious in a time of crisis. He behaved like a trapped animal trying to distract the hunters toward anyone but him. Meanwhile Chuck Schumer is unusually, uncharacteristically silent; Barack Obama—except when mentioned by a press pretending he is leading—seems irrelevant to the process and to have no genuine ideas or input, or a desire to lead. All he seems capable of doing is whining about the debate while Rome falls about his ankles. McCain is quite right that the debates would be less urgent if Obama had done the Town Halls McCain had asked for—debates Obama said he’d have “anytime, anywhere” before refusing all of them. I say at this point SCREW the moderated debates that tell us nothing and insist that these candidates town-hall it and speak DIRECTLY to the people who will be most affected by all of this—that would be the ordinary folk. And do the same for Biden and Palin if they debate. And seriously, if there is a debate, it should be on economics, and energy just now, not foreign policy. Speaking of foreign policy, in the midst of all of this, Israel is asking the American president to give a green light to bomb Iran. Imagine having all that on your plate for one day! I don’t know that John McCain is the “perfect” man for the White House, but I’m pretty damn sure at this point that a man with 150 days experience in the Senate, no instincts to lead, a whiny disposition, and a frightening willingness to use the Justice Department as his private thug-corps is the guy we need in the Oval Office in there very serious times. And finally, to end the rant, Charles Krauthammer says we need a few good public hangings re this financial mess. I think—after seeing our “leadership” demonstrate that they haven’t the balls to lead without political cover—we should put them out of their miseries by demanding a few resignations from the leadership of BOTH parties, and both banking committees.

The state of the deal

Here’s what the McCain campaign has to say about the current state of affairs:

To address our current financial crisis, John McCain suspended his campaign and returned to Washington, D.C., today to help build a bipartisan consensus for a proposal that would protect the American taxpayer.Despite today’s news reports, there never existed a “deal,” but merely a proposal offered by a small, select group of Members of Congress. As of right now, there exists only a series of principles, including greater oversight and measures to address CEO pay. However, these principles do not enjoy a consensus in Congress. At today’s cabinet meeting, John McCain did not attack any proposal or endorse any plan. John McCain simply urged that for any proposal to enjoy the confidence of the American people, stressing that all sides would have to cooperate and build a bipartisan consensus for a solution that protects taxpayers. However, the Democrats allowed Senator Obama to run their side of the meeting. That did not work as the meeting quickly devolved into a contentious shouting match that did not seek to craft a bipartisan solution. At this moment, the plan that has been put forth by the Administration does not enjoy the confidence of the American people as it will not protect that taxpayers and will sacrifice Main Street in favor of Wall Street. The bottom line is that as of tonight, there are not enough Republican or Democrat votes for the current plan. However, we are still optimistic that a bipartisan solution will be found. Republicans and Democrats want a deal that will protect the taxpayers. Tomorrow, John McCain will return to Capitol Hill where he will work with all sides to build a bipartisan solution that protects taxpayers and keeps Americans in their homes.

That’s certainly where the priorities ought to be: to protect responsible taxpayers and let the burden of the crisis fall on those who have been irresponsible (which means, among other things, shooting down Richard Durbin’s efforts to get the irresponsible off the hook at everyone else’s expense); unfortunately, the lobbying dollars are not with the taxpayer, they’re with the same folks whose irresponsibility and bad policies got us into this to begin with, so at the moment, I’m not real optimistic. Still, I think Megan McArdle’s right, we need to make the best deal we can make, even if we don’t think it’s a good one; if we don’t, here’s what we’re looking at (according to John Podhoretz, anyway):

If a deal isn’t reached by Sunday night, and a bill isn’t signed into law by Sunday night, it is likely we will wake up Monday morning to a market meltdown overseas of a sort the world has never seen—and then we will just wait, mute, until the American markets open. Monday will be an interesting test case: We will see just how much poorer the investing class can get in just one day. And then, a second day. And then, a week. As the whirlwind begins its reaping.

And by “the investing class” he doesn’t just mean the rich; he means all of us who need to save for the future, and have been doing so, and who could watch those savings blow away in the wind from Wall Street. Ladies and gentlemen of the Congress, you have 72 hours; if you get this wrong, they could be, to all intents and purposes, the last 72 hours of your political careers. Use them wisely.

Is John McCain recovering his footing?

The statement he offered today suggests so:

I am calling on the President to convene a meeting with the leadership from both houses of Congress, including Senator Obama and myself. It is time for both parties to come together to solve this problem. We must meet as Americans, not as Democrats or Republicans, and we must meet until this crisis is resolved. I am directing my campaign to work with the Obama campaign and the commission on presidential debates to delay Friday night’s debate until we have taken action to address this crisis. I am confident that before the markets open on Monday we can achieve consensus on legislation that will stabilize our financial markets, protect taxpayers and homeowners, and earn the confidence of the American people. All we must do to achieve this is temporarily set politics aside, and I am committed to doing so.

As Jennifer Rubin notes, this poses an interesting conundrum for the Obama campaign:

Will Obama follow suit and disrupt his debate prep? It will be hard to say no, yet odd to follow meekly behind McCain’s invitation.

More importantly, this offers perhaps the best hope we have for a solution that will actually get us through the current crisis—especially if Sen. Obama follows suit, but maybe even if he doesn’t.Update: Duane Patterson sums this up nicely.

The Ayers/Obama campaign to radicalize education

Maybe this is why the Obama campaign tried to stop Stanley Kurtz from delving into the records of the Chicago Annenberg Challenge—they didn’t want him telling people what the CAC was all about:

The CAC’s agenda flowed from Mr. Ayers’s educational philosophy, which called for infusing students and their parents with a radical political commitment, and which downplayed achievement tests in favor of activism. In the mid-1960s, Mr. Ayers taught at a radical alternative school, and served as a community organizer in Cleveland’s ghetto.In works like “City Kids, City Teachers” and “Teaching the Personal and the Political,” Mr. Ayers wrote that teachers should be community organizers dedicated to provoking resistance to American racism and oppression. His preferred alternative? “I’m a radical, Leftist, small ‘c’ communist,” Mr. Ayers said in an interview in Ron Chepesiuk’s, “Sixties Radicals,” at about the same time Mr. Ayers was forming CAC.CAC translated Mr. Ayers’s radicalism into practice. Instead of funding schools directly, it required schools to affiliate with “external partners,” which actually got the money. Proposals from groups focused on math/science achievement were turned down. Instead CAC disbursed money through various far-left community organizers, such as the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (or Acorn). . . .The Daley documents show that Mr. Ayers sat as an ex-officio member of the board Mr. Obama chaired through CAC’s first year. He also served on the board’s governance committee with Mr. Obama, and worked with him to craft CAC bylaws. Mr. Ayers made presentations to board meetings chaired by Mr. Obama. Mr. Ayers spoke for the Collaborative before the board. Likewise, Mr. Obama periodically spoke for the board at meetings of the Collaborative. . . .Mr. Ayers’s defenders claim that he has redeemed himself with public-spirited education work. That claim is hard to swallow if you understand that he views his education work as an effort to stoke resistance to an oppressive American system. He likes to stress that he learned of his first teaching job while in jail for a draft-board sit-in. For Mr. Ayers, teaching and his 1960s radicalism are two sides of the same coin.Mr. Ayers is the founder of the “small schools” movement (heavily funded by CAC), in which individual schools built around specific political themes push students to “confront issues of inequity, war, and violence.” He believes teacher education programs should serve as “sites of resistance” to an oppressive system. (His teacher-training programs were also CAC funded.) The point, says Mr. Ayers in his “Teaching Toward Freedom,” is to “teach against oppression,” against America’s history of evil and racism, thereby forcing social transformation.The Obama campaign has cried foul when Bill Ayers comes up, claiming “guilt by association.” Yet the issue here isn’t guilt by association; it’s guilt by participation. As CAC chairman, Mr. Obama was lending moral and financial support to Mr. Ayers and his radical circle. That is a story even if Mr. Ayers had never planted a single bomb 40 years ago.

The fact that Ayers did plant bombs, and remains unrepentant about doing so, only makes it more of a story; this is why, before a national audience, Sen. Obama and his media subsidiary have done their best to keep it out of sight. It’s worth noting, however, that when he was just running in Chicago, Barack Obama offered his work running CAC as a major qualification for office:

Testimonial

“There is one person who’s been consistent on reform issues, and that’s been John McCain.”Says who? President Bush? Dick Cheney? Mitt Romney? Sarah Palin?Nope—Barack Obama:

HT: Power Line (with thanks for a positive thought)

Wondering where John McCain’s wits went

I’d figured that the crisis around Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would be a hanging curveball right in Sen. McCain’s wheelhouse, since (as I pointed out at some length a few days ago) he’s been warning us for years that this was coming; all he really had to do was stand up and say so. Instead, we’ve seen a pretty erratic week from him. I think John Podhoretz overstates things a little, but not much, when he writes,

Substantively, this has been the worst week of John McCain’s campaign—and I mean since its beginning, in early 2007. With a perfect argument to make on his own behalf—that he saw the problems with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and called them out in 2005 while others were still angling for their largesse, and that therefore he possesses the experience and demonstrated the kind of leadership and insight that are required for the presidency—he instead flailed about. Calling for the firing of Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Chris Cox? Right there, in that act, we got a glimpse of why senators so often make bad presidential candidates. From time immemorial, senators haughtily acts as though the dismissal of executive branch officials is a form of policymaking when it is almost always the opposite—an act of scapegoating.As SEC chairman, Cox only possesses the regulatory authority granted to him by acts of Congress, i.e., by senators like McCain. Cox did not and does not possess the regulatory authority to halt the creation of the poorly collateralized securities that nearly brought Wall Street down last week. But the naming and pursuit of villains was McCain’s gut instinct last week, as he seemed to attempt to don Teddy Roosevelt’s mantle as the crusader against “malefactors of great wealth.”

This sort of thing is the reason why so many of us on the conservative side have long had reservations about Sen. McCain; that shot at Chairman Cox was completely uncalled-for, unjustified, and counterproductive. (If he really is serious about the egregious Andrew Cuomo to replace him, that would be even worse.) I don’t think it’s really likely that he will “blow the debate and lose the election” as a consequence, even if he doesn’t snap out of grandstanding mode and “start talking like a serious-minded person with a sophisticated sense of the stakes” again, since I don’t think Barack Obama will be in a position to take any real advantage if he doesn’t; but he certainly won’t help himself any—and of greater importance, he won’t be doing the country any favors either.

Is David Axelrod trying to smear Sarah Palin?

Between Dr. Rusty Shackelford’s research, posted at The Jawa Report, and Ace’s followup, it sure looks like it; Patterico says pointedly, “In the criminal law business, we call evidence like that ‘consciousness of guilt.’” Didn’t Barack Obama promise us a new politics that would move us away from partisan smears and character assassination?Looks like his campaign didn’t get the memo.HT: Hugh HewittUpdate: Ethan Winner is trying to fall on his sword, claiming he acted alone and without any involvement of the Obama campaign; as Ace points out, there are strong reasons not to believe him, especially given the existing relationship between Axelrod and the Winners’ firm. Certainly, everyone’s behavior here is highly suspicious.